Second International Conference on Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction (S2S) and
Second International Conference on Seasonal to Decadal Prediction (S2D)
Agenda and oral presentations
- For a .pdf version of the draft programme, click here
- For a .pdf version of the abstract book for oral presentations, click here
- For a .pdf version of the abstract book for poster presentations, click here
| 13.15-17.45 | Parallel Sessions: Themes A and B | |
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S2S session Theme A1: |
S2D session Theme B1: |
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| 13:15-14.45 | S2S session Theme A1: Mechanisms of S2S predictability Chair: Andrew Roberston Rapporteurs: Alex Gonzalez & Kirsten Mayer |
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| 13.15-13.45 | Brunet, Gilbert (Keynote): Identifying wave processes associated with predictability across subseasonal to seasonal time scales (A1-01) | |
| 13.45-14.00 | Toth, Zoltan: Predictive signal and noise in sub-seasonal to decadal forecasts (A1-02) | |
| 14.00-14.15 | Newman, Matt: How important are ENSO and the MJO to tropical subseasonal predictability (A1-03) | |
| 14.15-14.30 | Perlwitz, Judith: Characteristics of the QBO-stratospheric polar Vortex connection on multi-decadal time scales (A1-04) | |
| 14.30-14.45 | Kim, Ha-Rim: Impact of statistically forecasted sea-ice boundary condition on the sub-seasonal prediction using atmospheric general circulation model (A1-05) | |
| 14.45-16.15 | Coffee Break and Poster Session A1 | |
| 16:15-17.45 | S2S session Theme A1 (cont.) Chair: Frédéric Vitart Rapporteur: Simon Peatman |
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| 16.15-16.30 | Cheng, Yuan-Ming: Intraseasonal Variability of African Easterly Wave (A1-06) | |
| 16:30-16.45 | Dias, Juliana: Diagnosing sources of operational forecast model errors in tropical-extratropical interactions (A1-07) | |
| 16.45-17.00 | Lee, Robert: ENSO modulation of MJO teleconnection to the North Atlantic & Europe and implications for subseasonal predictability (A1-08) | |
| 17.00-17.15 | Stan, Cristiana: The impact of Northern Hemisphere mid-latitude variability on tropical teleconnections (Part1 ; Part2) (A1-09) | |
| 17.15-17.30 | Lin, Hai: Predicting the dominant patterns of subseasonal variability of wintertime surface air temperature in extratropical Northern Hemisphere (A1-10) | |
| 17.30-17.45 | Grams, Christian: The role of cloud diabatic processes in the life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes (A1-011) | |
| 13:15-14.45 | S2D session Theme B1: Mechanisms of S2D predictability Chair: Doug Smith Rapporteurs: Roberto Bilbao & Leandro Baltasar Diaz |
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| 13.15-13.45 | Robson, Jon (Keynote): On the mechanisms that give rise to predictability on Seasonal-to-decadal time-scales (Part1; Part2; Part3) (B1-01) | |
| 13.45-14.00 | Meehl, Gerald: Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation: What"s the mechanism? (B1-02) | |
| 14.00-14.15 | Mochizuki, Takashi: Tropical Atlantic impacts on subdecadal variability in the Pacific (B1-03) | |
| 14.15-14.30 | Lee, June-Yi: Multi-year predictability of total soil water, drought, and wildfire over the Globe (B1-04) | |
| 14.30-14.45 | Anderson, Bruce: The Pacific Decadal Precession: Our current understanding of its dynamics, regional climate effects, and predictability (Pat1; Part2) (B1-05) | |
| 14.45-16.15 | Coffee Break and Poster Session B1 | |
| 16:15-17.45 | S2D session Theme B1 (cont.) Chair: Stephen Yeager Rapporteur: Annika Reintges |
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| 16.15-16.30 | Delworth, Thomas: Decadal variability and predictability in the Southern Ocean - implications for interpreting recent observed trends (B1-06) | |
| 16.30-16.45 | Chapman, Christopher: Subsurface Variability and teleconnections in the Indian Ocean (Part1; Part2) (B1-07) | |
| 16.45-17.00 | Msadek, Rym: Dynamical and thermodynamical impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the European climate (Part1; Part2; Part3) (B1-08) | |
| 17:00-17.15 | Engelbrecht, François: Antarctic stratospheric ozone and seasonal predictability over southern Africa (B1-09) | |
| 17.15-17.30 | Ruprich-Robert, Yohan: Impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the tropical climate and tropical cyclone activity (B1-10) | |
| 17.30-17.45 | Patricola, Christina: Oceanic and atmospheric sources of seasonal tropical cyclone predictability (B1-11) | |
| 18.00-20:00 | Conference Reception at Center Green sponsored by UCAR, NCAR, and the Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory | |
TUESDAY 18 SEPTEMBER |
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| 8.30-17.45 | Parallel Sessions: Themes A and B | |
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S2S session Theme A2: |
S2D session Theme B1 (cont.)/ |
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| 8.30-10.30 | S2S session Theme A2: Modelling issues in S2S prediction Chair: Anca Brookshaw Rapporteur: Benjamin Green |
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| 8.30-9.00 | Takaya, Yuhei (Keynote): The art and science in sub-seasonal forecast system design and modelling (A2-01) | |
| 9.00-9.15 | Buizza, Roberto: Initialisation and model error simulation in the ECMWF coupled ensembles (A2-02) | |
| 9.15-9.30 | Saha, Suranjana: Development of a Unified Global Coupled System for sub seasonal to seasonal prediction system (A2-03) | |
| 9.30-9.45 | Sardeshmukh, Prashant: Sufficient resolution for S2S predictions (A2-04) | |
| 9.45-10.00 | Hong, Song-You: Seasonal prediction experiments in a global coupled system based on a non-hydrostatic global atmospheric model (Part1; Part2) (A2-05) | |
| 10.00-10.30 | Coffee Break | |
| 10.30-12.00 | S2S session Theme A2 (cont.) / Theme A3: S2S ensemble predictions and forecast information Chair: Cécile Penland Rapporteur: Roseanna McKay |
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| 10.30-10.45 | Benjamin, Stan: Toward reducing cloud-radiation errors from Day 1 to Week 4 Prediction (Part1; Part2; Part3) (A2-06) | |
| 10.45-11.00 | Kim, Daehyun: Mean state bias, cloud-radiation feedbacks, and MJO prediction skill in the S2S models (A2-07) | |
| 11.00-11.15 | Kim, Hyemi: Process-based MJO hindcast evaluation in SubX (A2-08) | |
| 11.15-11.30 | DeMott, Charlotte: The ocean-atmosphere dialog in the MJO: Physical processes vs. systematic biases in forecast models (Part1; Part2) ( A2-09) | |
| 11.30-12.00 | Ferranti, Laura (Keynote): How far in advance can we predict changes in large-scale flow leading to severe cold conditions over Europe? (Part1; Part2) (A3-01) | |
| 8.30-10.30 | S2D session Theme B1 (cont.) Chair: June-Yi Lee Rapporteurs: Jennifer Mecking & Ching Ho Justin Ng |
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| 8.30-8.45 | Maroon, Elizabeth:Sources of skill in Sahel precipitation hindcasts in the CESM Decadal Prediction Large EnsembleSources of skill in Sahel precipitation hindcasts in the CESM Decadal Prediction Large Ensemble (B1-12) | |
| 8.45-9.00 | Dewes, Candida: Projected Changes in S2D Hydroclimate Predictability in North America in CESM-LE (B1-13) | |
| 9:00-9.15 | Webster, Peter: Is there a "BEYOND" on the other side of the ENSO Spring Predictability Barrier?(B1-14) | |
| 9.15-9.30 | Alessandri, Andrea: Multi‑scale enhancement of climate prediction over land by increasing the model sensitivity to vegetation variability in EC-Earth (B1-15) | |
| 9.30-9.45 |
Ardilouze, Constantin: Investigating the impact of soil moisture on European summer climate predictions (B1-16) |
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| 9.45-10.00 | Beverley, Jonathan: The Circumglobal Teleconnection in the ECMWF seasonal Forecast Model (B1-17) | |
| 10.00-10.30 | Coffee Break | |
| 10.30-12.00 | S2D session Theme B2 Modelling issues in S2D prediction Chair: Johanna Baehr Rapporteur: Douglas Miller |
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| 10.30-11.00 | Mueller, Wolfgang (Keynote): Climate predictions with MPI-ESM: Recent achievements and challenges (B2-01) | |
| 11.00-11.15 | Barrie, Daniel: Process-Oriented Model Diagnosis to Improve Modeling Systems (B2-02) | |
| 11.15-11.30 | Siongco, Angela Cheska: Diagnosing the sources of systematic SST biases in CESM using ensemble seasonal hindcasts (B2-03) | |
| 11.30-11.45 | Molteni, Franco: Estimating errors in model variability: a comparison between seasonal re-forecasts and continuous multi-decadal simulations with the ECMWF coupled model (B2-04) | |
| 11.45-12.00 | Keenlyside, Noel: Approaches to reduce model biases to improve in climate prediction (B2-05) | |
| 12.00-13.15 | Lunch | |
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S2S session Theme A3: |
S2D session Theme B2 (cont.)/ |
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| 13.15-14.45 | S2S session Theme A3 (cont.) Chair: Thomas M. Hamill Rapporteurs: Felipe Andrade & Christoph Renkl |
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| 13.15-13.30 | Coelho, Caio: A verification framework for South American sub-seasonal precipitation predictions (A3-02) | |
| 13:30-13:45 | Munoz, Angel G: How much can Model Output Statistics improve sub-seasonal predictive skill? (A3-03) | |
| 13.45-14.00 | Berner, Judith: Regime-dependent predictability and forecast error spectra of initialized forecasts (A3-04) | |
| 14.00-14.15 | Barnes, Elizabeth: Advancing atmospheric river and blocking forecasts into subseasonal-to-seasonal timescales (A3-05) | |
| 14.15-14.30 | Collins, Dan: Identifying the capacity of dynamical models to forecast subseasonal extremes: Multi-model ensembles (A3-06) | |
| 14.30-14.45 | Pegion, Kathy: The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX) (A3-07) | |
| 14.45-16.15 | Coffee Break and Poster Session A2, A3 |
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| 16.15-17.45 | S2S session Theme A3 (cont.) Chair: Cristiana Stan Rapporteurs: Michael DeFlorio & Mariano Alvarez |
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| 16.15-16.30 | Yoo, Changhyun: Subseasonal prediction of wintertime East Asian temperature based on atmospheric teleconnections (A3-08) | |
| 16.30-16.45 | Batté, Lauriane: Forecasting springtime Sahelian heat waves at seasonal and sub-seasonal time scales (A3-09) | |
| 16.45-17.00 | Toma, Violeta: Advances in operational sub seasonal prediction of heat and cold waves for U.S. cities (A3-10) | |
| 17.00-17.15 | Plans for Phase 2 R2O and database | |
| 17.15-17:45 | Discussion (30 min) | |
| 13.15-14.45 | S2D session Theme B2 (cont.) Chair: Asmerom Beraki Rapporteur: Katharina Isensee |
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| 13.15-13.30 | Johnson, Stephanie: SEAS5: The new ECMWF seasonal forecast system (B2-06) | |
| 13.30-13.45 | Paxian, Andrea: The German Climate Forecast System GCFS2.0 (B2-07) | |
| 13.45-14.00 | Wang, Yiguo: Development and current S2D prediction skill of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NOrCPM) (B2-08) | |
| 14.00-14.15 | O'Reilly, Christopher: The importance of stratospheric initial conditions on wintertime seasonal NAO predictability and implications for the signal-to-noise paradox (B2-09) | |
| 14.15-14.30 | Bethke, Ingo: Subtropical North Atlantic preconditioning key to skillful subpolar gyre prediction (B2-10) | |
| 14.30-14.45 | Kadow, Christopher: Can decadal climate predictions be improved by ocean ensemble dispersion filtering? Any impact on seasonal predictions? (Part1; Part2) (B2-11) | |
| 14.45-16.15 | Coffee Break and Poster Session B2, B3 | |
| 16.15-17.45 | S2D session Theme B2 (cont.) / Theme B3: S2D ensemble predictions and forecast information Chair: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda Rapporteur: Johnna Infanti |
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| 16.15-16.30 | Polkova, Iuliia: Climate-mode initialization for decadal predictions (B2-12) | |
| 16.30-16.45 | Kitsios, Vassili: Application of normal mode functions for the improved balance in the CAFE data assimilation system and characterisation of modes of variability (B2-13) | |
| 16.45-17.15 | Yeager, Steve (Keynote): Near-term hydroclimate outlooks based on the CESM Decadal Prediction Large Ensemble (Part1; Part2; Part3) (B3-01) | |
| 17.15-17.30 | Deser, Clara: Predicting multi-year La Niña events (B3-02) | |
| 17.30-17.45 | Luo, Jing-Jia: Multi-year ENSO prediction (B3-03) | |
| 19.00 | Social Evening for Early Career Researchers (registration required - contact Matthias Tuma for details) | |
WEDNESDAY 19 SEPTEMBER |
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| 8.30-17:45 | Parallel Sessions: Themes A and B | |
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S2S session Theme A4: |
S2D Session Theme B3 (cont.)/ |
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| 8.30-10.30 | S2S session Theme A4: S2S forecasts for decision making Chair: Kathy Pegion Rapporteur: Corry Baggett |
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| 8.30-9.00 | White, Chris (Keynote): Applications of sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) predictions (Part1; Part2; Part3; Part4) (A4-01) | |
| 9.00-9.15 | Baker, Sarah: Sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) climate products for water management (A4-02) | |
| 9.15- 9.30 | Bazile, Rachel: Improving the predictability of streamflow for hydropower production in Canada using S2S ensemble meteorological forecasts (A4-03) | |
| 9.30-9.45 | Waliser, Duane: Experimental sub-seasonal forecasting of atmospheric river variations for the western U.S. during Winters 2017-2018 and 2018-2019 (A4-04) | |
| 9.45-10.00 | Büeler, Dominik: Stratospheric influences on European month-ahead wind power generation and its predictability on subseasonal time scalestratospheric influences on European month-ahead wind power generation and its predictability on subseasonal time scales (A4-05) | |
| 10.00-10.30 | Coffee Break | |
| 10.30-12.00 | S2S session Theme A4 (cont.) Chair: Nicholas Klingaman Rapporteur: Yongqiang Sun |
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10.30-10.45 |
Manrique Suñén, Andrea: Sub-seasonal to seasonal climate predictions for energy: the S2S4E project (A4-06) | |
| 10.45-11.00 | Vintzileos, Augustin: Excessive heat events and health: Health-impact oriented subseasonal excessive heat outlook system(A4-07) | |
| 11.00-11.15 | Wood, Andrew: Using hydrologic prediction skill elasticity to quantify the benefits of s2s climate information for hydrologic forecasting (A4-08) | |
| 11.15-11.30 | Plans for S2S Phase 2 Applications | |
| 11.30-12.00 | Discussion (30 min) Application in S2S Phase 2 | |
| 8.30-10.30 |
S2D Session Theme B3 (cont.) |
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| 8.30-8.45 | Smith, Doug: How skilful are decadal climate predictions? (B3-04) | |
| 8.45-9.00 | Grieger, Jens: Evaluation of re-calibrated decadal hindcast using a common verification framework (B3-05) | |
| 9.00-9.15 | Squire, Dougal: Skill assessment of the CSIRO multi-year Climate Analysis Forecast Ensemble system (B3-06) | |
| 9.15-9.30 | Becker, Emily: Prediction of short-term climate extremes using the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (B3-07) | |
| 9.30-9.45 | Osman, Marisol: Calibration and Combination of NMME precipitation forecast over South America using Ensemble Regression (B3-08) | |
| 9.45-10.00 | Acharya, Nachiketa: Evaluating a new calibration method for Seasonal Probabilistic Prediction for Indian Summer Monsoon (B3-09) | |
| 10.00-10.30 | Coffee Break | |
| 10.30-12.00 | S2D Session Theme B3 (cont.) / Theme B4: S2D forecasts for decision making Chair: Tatiana Ilyina Rapporteurs: Balakrishnan Solaraju Murali |
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| 10.30-10.45 | Dobrynin, Mikhail: Potential of combined statistical-dynamical sub-sampling approach (B3-10) | |
| 10.45-11.00 | Shin, Sang-Ik: Room for Improvement in Seasonal-to-Decadal Climate Prediction (B3-11) | |
| 11.00-11.30 | Tommasi, Desiree (Keynote): Climate Predictions for Fisheries Applications (B4-01) | |
| 11.30-11.45 | Tourigny, Etienne: Application of operational seasonal prediction systems for seasonal prediction of fire danger: a case study of the extreme wildfire events in California, Spain and Portugal of 2017 (B4-02) | |
| 11.45-12.00 | Hoell, Andrew: Using Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecast Guidance to Support Famine Early Warning Systems Network International Food Security Assessments (B4-03) | |
| 12.00-13.15 | Lunch | |
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S2S Session Themes A7/A8: North and Center CG |
S2D session B4 (cont.)/ FL auditorium (streaming South CG) |
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| 13.15-14.45 |
S2S Session Themes A7/A8: Stratosphere/Chemistry |
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| 13.15-13.45 | Pawson, Steven (Keynote): Impacts of NASA’s Earth Observations on subseasonal and seasonal forecasts (A7-01) | |
| 13.45-14.15 | Butler, Amy (Keynote): The role of the stratosphere in sub-seasonal to seasonal predictability (A8-01) | |
| 14.15-14.30 | Alexander, M Joan: Effect of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings on Subseasonal Prediction Skill in the NASA S2S Forecast System (A8-02) | |
| 14.30-14.45 | Karpechko, Alexey: Predictability of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings in sub-seasonal forecast models (A8-03) | |
| 14.45-16.15 | Coffee Break and Poster Session A4, A7, A8 |
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| 16.15-17.45 | S2S Session Themes A8 (cont.) Chair: Steven Woolnough Rapporteur: Nick Byrne |
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| 16.15-16.30 | Domeisen, Daniela: The role of stratosphere - troposphere coupling in sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction using the S2S database (Part1; Part2; Part3) (A8-04) | |
| 16.30-16.45 | Charlton-Perez, Andrew: A signal and noise analysis of stratosphere-troposphere coupling in the S2S models A8-05) | |
| 16.45-17.45 | Discussion (1 hr) | |
| 13.15-14.45 | S2D Session Theme B4 (cont.) Chair: William Merryfield Rapporteur: Sam Grainger |
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| 13.15-13.30 | Kapnick, Sarah: 8-Month Snowpack Prediction Potential (B4-04) | |
| 13.30-13.45 | Lehner, Flavio: Harnessing NMME predictions to support seasonal hydrologic prediction (B4-05) | |
| 13.45-14.00 | Done, James: UDECIDE: Understanding Decision-Climate Interactions on Decadal Scales (B4-06) | |
| 14.00-14.15 | Towler, Erin: UDECIDE: Incorporating decadal predictions into water management (part1 ; part2) (B4-07) | |
| 14.15-14.30 | Brookshaw, Anca: Seasonal and decadal prediction services of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) - current status and plans for the future (B4-08) | |
| 14.30-14.45 | Kolstad, Erik: Co-production of seasonal forecasts: experiences from Norway (B4-09) | |
| 14.45-16.15 | Coffee Break and Poster Session B4, B5, B6 |
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| 16.15-17.45 | S2D Session Theme B5: Hindcast and forecast quality assessment Chair: Ben Kirtman Rapporteur: Klaus Pankatz |
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| 16.15-16.45 | DelSole, Timothy (Keynote): Recent Developments in Forecast Quality Assessment (B5-01) | |
| 16.45-17.00 | Volpi, Danila: Robust evaluation of seasonal forecast quality using teleconnections (B5-02) | |
| 17.00 -17.15 | Strommen, Kristian: Signal and noise in regime systems: A hypothesis on the predictability of the NAO (B5-03) | |
| 17.15-17:30 | Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel: Canonical skill analysis of tropical Pacific variability in the CCCma decadal hindcasts (B5-04) | |
| 17.30-17.45 | Düsterhus, André: An advanced score for evaluating seasonal forecast skill (B5-05) | |
THURSDAY 20 SEPTEMBER |
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| 8.30-12.00 | Parallel Sessions: Themes A and B | |
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S2S Themes A5/A6: |
S2D Theme B5 (cont.)/ |
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| 8.30-10.30 | S2S Themes A5/A6: Ocean and land Initialization and processes Chair: Suranjana Saha Rapporteur: Constantin Ardilouze & Partha Bhattacharjee |
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| 8.30-9.00 | Dirmeyer, Paul (Keynote): The Land Surface “Sweet Spot” Between Weather and Climate (A5-01) | |
| 9.00-9.30 | Saravanan, Ramalingam (Keynote): The role of the midlatitude ocean in sub-seasonal prediction (A5-02) | |
| 9.30-9.45 | Davis, Philip: An improved approach to land-surface initialization in the Met Office's Global Seasonal Forecasting System (GloSea) (A5-03) | |
| 9.45-10.00 | Tuinenburg, Obbe: Land-surface initialisation affects Indian monsoon predictability (A5-04) | |
| 10.00-10.30 | Coffee Break | |
| 10.30-12.00 | S2S Themes A5/A6: Ocean and land Initialization and processes Chair: Duane Waliser Rapporteur: Nicolas Vigaud |
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| 10.30-10.45 | Subramanian, Aneesh: Impact of ocean observation systems on ocean analyses and subseasonal forecasts (A6-01) | |
| 10.45-11.00 | Zhang, Chidong: Sea Ice and Filling Data Gaps for S2S Prediction (A6-02) | |
| 11.00-12.00 | Discussion (1hr, including impact of observing system) | |
| 8.30-10.30 | S2D Theme B5 (cont.) / B6 Frontiers in earth system prediction Chair: Emily Becker Rapporteurs: Aaron Spring & Takahito Kataoka |
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| 8.30-8.45 | Caron, Louis-Philippe: How skillful are the multi-annual forecasts of Atlantic hurricane activity? (B5-06) | |
| 8.45-9:00 | Tietsche, Steffen: Making sense of seasonal sea-ice forecasts (B5-07) | |
| 9.00-9.30 | Li, Hongmei (Keynote): Decadal predictability of the ocean carbon uptake variation (B6-01) | |
| 9.30-9.45 | Ilyina, Tatiana: Integration of carbon cycle components into ESM-based prediction systems (B6-02) | |
| 9.45-10.00 | Park, Jong-yeon: Seasonal to multi-annual marine biogeochemical prediction using GFDL’s Earth System Model (B6-03) | |
| 10.00-10.30 | Coffee Break | |
| 10.30-12.00 | S2D Theme B6 (cont.) Chair: Wolfgang Mueller Rapporteur: Nicholas Wayand |
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| 10.30-10.45 | Lovenduski, Nicole: A change in the forecast: Ocean biogeochemistry over the next decade (B6-04) | |
| 10.45-11.00 | Long, Matthew: Predicting ocean oxygen: capabilities and potential (B6-05) | |
| 11.00-11.15 | Rodgers, Keith: Application of Earth system modeling tools to explore predictability of marine ecosystem stressors (B6-06) | |
| 11.15-11.30 | Bushuk, Mitch: Regional Arctic sea-ice prediction: Potential versus operational seasonal forecast skill (B6-07) | |
| 11.30-11.45 | Sigmond, Michael: Skillful seasonal forecasts of Arctic sea ice retreat and advance dates in a dynamical forecast system (B6-08) | |
| 11.45-12.00 | Imada, Yukiko: ENSO prediction using an earth system model incorporating a high-resolution tropical ocean nesting model (B6-09) | |
| 12.00-13.15 | Lunch | |
| 13.15-17.45 |
Common S2S/S2D Sessions - CG auditorium |
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| 13.15-14.45 | Chair: Francisco Doblas-Reyes Rapporteurs: Cristina Recalde & Georgios Fragkoulidis |
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| Session C1: Initialization, initialization shock, model errors | ||
| 13.15-13.45 | Karspeck, Alicia (Keynote): Expert perspectives on the practice of decadal prediction from CMIP5 and beyond CMIP6 (C1-01) | |
| 13.45-14.00 | Balmaseda, Magdalena: Non-linear and non-stationary forecast errors: Time to revise the forecast strategy? (C1-02) | |
| 14.00-14.15 | O’Kane, Terence: Coupled data assimilation and ensemble initialization with application to multi-year ENSO prediction (Part1; Part2; Part3) (C1-03) | |
| 14.15-14.30 | Kirtman, Ben: Sub-seasonal to Decadal Predictability and Prediction with an Ocean Eddy Resolving Global Coupled Model (C1-04) | |
| Session C2: Research to operations | ||
| 14.30-14.45 | Christensen, Hannah: From reliable initialised forecasts to skilful climate projection: a dynamical systems approach (C2-01) | |
| 14.45-16.15 | Coffee Break and Poster Session A5, A6, C1, C2, C3 |
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| 16.15-17.45 | Chair: Arun Kumar Rapporteur: Momme Hell |
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| 16.15-16.45 | Hudson, Debbie (Keynote): Climate Outlook service: What are they, how can you build one, how it takes time and effort, and what it is worth it! (C2-02) | |
| 16.45-17.00 | Reynolds, Carolyn: US Navy’s Earth System Prediction Capability Effort (C2-03) | |
| 17.00-17.15 | Crawford, Todd: Transferring Science to practice: nearly two decades of seasonal forecasting for weather-sensitive industry (C2-04) | |
| Session C3: Time Scale interactions | ||
| 17.15-17.30 | Koh, Tieh Yong: Multi-scale interactions in a high-resolution tropical-belt experiment using WRP model (C3-01) | |
| 17.30-17.45 | Wang, Simon: North America winter circulation regime change and implications on S2S/S2D (C3-02) | |
| 19.00 |
Early Career Researcher Meet-and-Greet with senior scientists (registration required - contact Matthias Tuma for details)"
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FRIDAY 21 SEPTEMBER |
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| 8.30-12.00 |
Common S2S/S2D Sessions - CG auditorium |
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| 8.30-10.30 | Chair: Roberto Buizza Rapporteurs: Carly Tozer & Muhammad Azhar Ehsan |
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| Session C3 (cont.) |
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| 8.30-9.00 | Kimoto, Masahide (Keynote): Predictability of blocking and tropical cyclone activities? An assessment with a large ensemble simulation (C3-03) | |
| 9.00-9.15 | Woollings, Tim: Relating winter NAO skill to jet variability across timescales (C3-04) | |
| 9.15-9.30 | Weisheimer, Antje: Seasonal Forecasts of the 20th Century: Multi-Decadal Variability in Predictive Skill of the Winter NAO (C3-05) | |
| 9.30-9.45 | Henderson, Stephanie: The role of tropical-extratropical interactions on the optimal growth of Madden-Julian Oscillation events (C3-06) | |
| 9.45-10.00 | Karmakar, Nirupam: Impact of intraseasonal oscillations on onset and demise of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall (C3-07) | |
| 10.00-10.30 | Coffee Break | |
| 10.30-12.00 |
Chair: Gokhan Danabasoglu & Frédéric Vitart |
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