15th Session of the WGSIP

24-26 September 2012, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany

A joint WGCM/WGSIP session was held on 26 September.

For the report of the 15th Session of the WGSIP, click here

Monday 24 September

Round table introductions (All)
- Action items and recommendations from WGSIP 14 meeting (B. Kirtman and A. Scaife)
- Key topics for this meeting (A. Scaife and B. Kirtman)
- JSC outcomes, WDAC, WMAC, WGSIP role in grand challenges (M. Rixen)

Climate-system Historical Forecast Project
- CHFP archive: progress and status (C. Saulo)
- CHFP analysis: activity so far (C. Saulo, B. Kirtman, A. Scaife)
Documenting the archive in a peer reviewed study: results so far, which data, designation of tasks, CLIVAR Exchanges Special Issue(All)
- Evolution of CHFP (C. Saulo and F. Doblas-Reyes)
- From the CHFP data server to ESG: the future of public access to seasonal-to-interannual predictions (F. Doblas-Reyes)
- Linking US NMME to CHFP (B. Kirtman)
- CHFP and the regional level, RCOFs (R. K. Kolli, 30 min)

CHFP Subprojects:
- Ice Historical Forecast Project (D. Peterson/A. Scaife)
- Land surface impacts on seasonal forecasts (H. Douville)
- Stratosphere Historical Forecast Project  (A. Butler/A. Scaife)

  

Address

Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany


Local Contact

Our local organizer is Elisa Manzini

Tel.: +49 (0)40 41173-317
Fax: +49 (0)40 41173-298
Email: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

 

Joint WGCM-WGSIP meeting

 

Other Projects:
- WCRP Polar Prediction Project and the links to WCRP's PCPI (T. Jung)
- WMO Lead Centre for MME (A. Kumar)
- WMO Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project (A. Robertson)
- US Seasonal Forecast MME (B. Kirtman)
- SPECS and ECOMS: the EU contribution to s2d climate services (F. Doblas-Reyes)

Data Assimilation:
- Data assimilation for initialized climate prediction (B. Kirtman)
- Discussion: should we have a coordinated data assimilation activity, links to WGOMD and GSOP? (All, G. Danabasoglu)
- The comparison of operational ocean reanalysis (A. Kumar)
- Observing system simulation experiments for the TAO array (A. Kumar)

Applications
- Application of climate forecasts to health (A. Morse)
- Applications of global seasonal forecasts (A. Robertson)
- Application of climate forecasts for Africa (W. Landman)
- WMO's Global Framework on Climate Services and other climate services initiatives (A. Robertson)
 Tuesday 25 September

- Application of climate forecasts at ICTP (A. Tompkins)

Review of Regional Activities

- ICTP, A. Tompkins (see above presentation)
- ECMWF, T. Stockdale
- IRI, A. Robertson
- JMA/MRI, T. Yasuda
- JAMSTEC, S. Behera
- METEOFR, H. Douville
- NCEP, A. Kumar
- MPI, W. Mueller
- ETH, S. Seneviratne
- Environment Canada, B. Merryfield
- UKMO, A. Scaife
- RSMAS, B. Kirtman

Decadal Prediction
- DCPP report and CMIP5 decadal hindcast analyses (G. Boer)
- Decadal Forecast Exchange - D. Smith (A. Scaife)
- MIKLIP project (W. Mueller)
Discussion: evolution of decadal predictions - preparation for DAY-3 - what next? (All)

Review of action items (B.Kirtman)
- Forthcoming events and meetings (e.g. 2nd WCRP Workshop on Seasonal Prediction, WGNE Workshop on Systematic Errors in Weather and Climate Models, GODAE/WGNE Workshop on Short- to Medium- Range Coupled Prediction for Atmosphere-Wave-Sea-Ice-Ocean)
- Other issues: eg WGSIP logo
- Membership: rotations off and new members
- Next meeting
Wednesday, September 26 - Joint WGCM-WGSIP Meeting - Decadal Prediction

WGCM-WGSIP Joint Meeting on Decadal Prediction

- Objectives of the joint session (WGCM and WGSIP co-chairs)
- Overview of WGCM (J. Meehl)
- Overview of WGSIP (A. Scaife)
- Decadal prediction: lessons from CMIP5 experimental design (F. Doblas-Reyes)
- Decadal prediction: science highlights and IPCC AR5 (B. Kirtman)
- Joint WGSIP/WGCM implications in WCRP Grand Challenges

- GC1:"Provision of skillful future climate information on regional scales (includes decadal and polar predictability)" (G. Meehl, F. Doblas-Reyes)
- GC4 : "Clouds and climate sensitivity" (S. Bony)

- Ideas for the future (CMIP6 coordinated set of experiments) (inputs from all)