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Decadal prediction simulations of Niño3.4 sea surface temperatures show a transition from positive to negative phases of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) and a resumption of larger rates of global warming over the 2013–2022 period consistent with a positive IPO phase. For more see: Meehl, G. A. et al. 2016. Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Nat. Commun. 7:11718 doi: 10.1038/ncomms11718.
Figure 2: Hindcast skill for the IPO (Meehl et al, 2016).