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Authors |
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Title |
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Poster Number |
| Alessio Bellucci, Silvio Gualdi, Enrico Scoccimarro, Antonio Navarra, Simona Masina, Andrea Storto |
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Decadal climate predictions with the CMCC-CM coupled OAGCM initialized with ocean analyses |
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W11A |
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| Anna Borovikov |
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Improving CFS seasonal prediction |
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W81B |
| |
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| Yehui Chang |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: Attribution of the Extreme U.S. East Coast Snowstorms of 2010 |
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W04B |
| |
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Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, Masahide Kimoto, Masayoshi Ishii, Masahiro Watanabe, Toru Nozawa, Takashi Mochizuki, Hiroaki Tatebe, Takashi T Sakamoto, Yoshiki Komuro, Hideo Shiogama, Masato Mori, Sayaka Yasunaka, Yukiko Imada, Hiroshi Koyama, Masato Nozu |
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Team MIROC: Predictability of a stepwise shift in Pacific climate during the late 1990s in hindcast experiments by MIROC |
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W19B |
| |
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| Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, Masahide Kimoto, Masahiro Watanabe, Masayoshi Ishii, Takashi Mochizuki |
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Team MIROC: Multi-year predictability of tropical Atlantic climate variability |
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W17B |
| |
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| Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, Yukiko Imada, Hiroaki Tatebe, Yoshiki Komuro, Masahide Kimoto |
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Team MIROC: Multidecadal modulation of tropical instability wave activity during the last few decades |
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W18B |
| |
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Judah Cohen, Mathew Barlow, Lowell
Vladimir Alexeev,
Jessica Cherry |
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Polar Climate Predictability Seasonal to Multi-decadal: Are the Two Most Recent Harsh Northern Hemisphere Winters Manifestation of Anthropogenic Global Warming in the Arctic? |
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W76B |
| |
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| Dan Collins, R. Wayne Higgins |
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Ensemble precipitation calibration and extreme event prediction |
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W14A |
| |
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| Susanna Corti |
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Decadal climate predictions with the ECMWF coupled system |
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W11B |
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| Samo Diatta, Andreas Heinrich Fink |
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Analysis and causes of non-stationary teleconnections impacting on West African Monsoon rainfal |
|
W86B |
| |
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| Paul Dirmeyer, David Straus, James L Kinter, Michael Fennesy, Benjamin A Cash, Timothy DelSole, Eric L Altshuler, Daniel A Paolino, Zhichang Guo, Bohua Huang, J Shukla |
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Predictability in a changing climate ? comparison of intraseasonal to seasonal forecasts in a pre-industrial versus modern background climate |
|
W75A |
| |
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| Ramon Fuentes Franco |
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Identification of sources of predictability and climatic variability for precipitation over Mexico |
|
W83A |
| |
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| Dimitrio Giannakis, Andrew Majda |
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Long-Range Forecasts Using Data Clustering and Information Theory |
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W78A |
| |
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| Robert Gillies, Shih-Yu Wang, Marty Booth |
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Subseasonal prediction of valley inversions in the Intermountain West |
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W03A |
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| Lisa Goddard, Paula Gonzalez, Simon Mason, Arthur Greene |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: A Verification Framework for Interannual-to-Decadal Prediction Experiments |
|
W02B |
| |
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| Paula Gonzalez, Lisa Goddard, Arthur M Greene, Doug M Smith |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: Assessment of changes in regional precipitation and temperature regimes associated with decadal variability and the ability of climate models to reproduce them |
|
W04A |
| |
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| Arthur Greene, Lisa Goddard, Paula Gonzalez |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: Climatology via simulation |
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W05B |
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| Zhichang Guo, Paul Dirmeyer; Tim DelSole |
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Relative contribution of sea surface temperature and soil moisture to subseasonal atmospheric predictability |
|
W72A |
| |
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| Yoo-Geun Ham |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: Generation of Bred Vectors for the Atlantic Decadal Oscillation using the NASA/GMAO GEOS-5 AOGCM |
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W06B |
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| Helen Hanlon, Gabriele C Hegerl, Simon Tett |
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Predicting changes in the probability of extreme heatwave events in Europe |
|
W74A |
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| Ed Hawkins, Buwen Dong, Jon Robson, Rowan Sutton |
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Verification of decadal forecasts: The interpretation and treatment of biases in decadal climate predictions |
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W09A |
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| Harry Hendon, Li Shi |
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Current capability to predict the Indian Ocean Dipole with seasonal forecast systems |
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W84A |
| |
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| Martin Hoerling, James Hurrell, Arun Kumar, Laurent Terray |
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On North American Decadal Climate for 2011-2020 |
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W77A |
| |
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| Marika Holland, Steven Vavrus, David Bailey |
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Seasonal predictability of Arctic sea ice |
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W24B |
| |
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| Bhaskar Jha |
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An analysis on estimates of ensemble size for seasonal prediction Bhaskar Jha and Arun Kumar Climate Prediction Center NCEP/NWS/NOAA Camp Spring, MD 20746 |
|
W86A |
| |
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| Liwei Jia, Timothy DelSole |
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Robust Multi-year Predictability on Continental Scales |
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W71B |
| |
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| Christina Karamperidou, Mark A Cane, Andrew T Wittenberg, Upmanu Lall |
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ENSO's Decadal Dance viewed through a Local Lyapunov lens |
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W14B |
| |
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| Noel Keenlyside, Jin Ba, Jennifer Mecking, Thomas Martin, Annika Reintges, Wonsun Park, Mojib Latif |
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Uncertainties in Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability |
|
W02A |
| |
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| Jürgen Kröger, Wolfgang A Mueller, Jin-Song von Storch |
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Fidelity and Predictability of Decadal Climate Variations in ECHAM/MPIOM: Impact of Different Ocean Reanalyses |
|
W84B |
| |
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| Vinay Kumar, T. N. Krishnamurti |
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Prediction of south Asian monsoon rainfall using multimodel ensemble scheme |
|
W73A |
| |
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| Tim LaRow |
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Impact of Two Different SST Climatologies on North Atlantic Re-forecasts |
|
W82B |
| |
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| June-Yi Lee, Jin-Ho Yoo, Young-Mi Min, Soo-Jin Shon, Hye-In Jeong, Bin Wang |
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Multi-Model Ensemble Seasonal Hindcast (1983-2003) and Real-Time Prediction (2007-2011) at APCC |
|
W10A |
| |
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| Xin-Zhong Liang, Ligang Chen, Shenjian Su, Fengxue Qiao |
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Regional CWRF Optimized Ensemble Precipitation Prediction over the United States |
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W73B |
| |
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| Hosmay Lopez, Ben Kirtman |
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Impact of Interactive Westerly Wind Bursts in CCSM3 |
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W83B |
| |
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| Gill Martin, Richard C Levine, Andrew G Turner, Nicholas P Klingaman, Sean F Milton, Martin Willett |
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Predicting the Asian summer monsoon and its variability on a range of timescales |
|
W74B |
| |
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| William Merryfield, Woo-Sung Lee, Slava Kharin, George Boer, John Fyfe |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: CCCma decadal forecasts for CMIP5 |
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W05A |
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| Young-Mi Min, June-Yi Lee, Jong-Seong Kug, Bin Wang, Vladimir N. Kryjov, Soo-Jin Sohn, Jin-Ho Yoo, Jai-Ho Oh |
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Improvement of the APCC probabilistic multi-model seasonal prediction by systematic error correction and uncertainty estimation |
|
W81A |
| |
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| Takashi Mochizuki, Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, Masahide Kimoto, Masayoshi Ishii, Hiroaki Tatebe, Yoshiki Komuro, Takashi T Sakamoto, Masahiro Watanabe, Masato Mori |
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Team MIROC: Decadal prediction using recent series of MIROC global climate model |
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W16A |
| |
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| Takashi Mochizuki, Masayoshi Ishii, Masahide Kimoto, Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, Masahiro Watanabe, Toru Nozawa, et al. |
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Team MIROC: Pacific decadal oscillation hindcasts relevant to near-term climate prediction |
|
W18A |
| |
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| Rym Msadek, Tom Delworth, Tony Rosati, Keith Dixon |
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Verification of decadal forecasts: results from the GFDL coupled model experiments |
|
W08B |
| |
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| Gustavo Naumann |
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Study on intraseasonal variability of maximum and minimum temperature in Southeastern South America |
|
W68B |
| |
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| Ousmane Ndiaye, Neil Ward, Wassila Thiaw |
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Predictability of seasonal Sahel rainfall using GCMs and lead-time improvements through a coupled model |
|
W75B |
| |
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| Matt Newman, Prashant Sardeshmukh, Cecile Penland, Michael Alexander, Kathy Pegion |
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Empirical models of climate prediction and predictability from sub-seasonal to multi-decadal scales |
|
W13B |
| |
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| Nour-Eddine Omrani, Noel Keenlyside |
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Stratosphere boosts wintertime atmospheric response to Atlantic decadal variability |
|
W68A |
| |
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| Kazuyoshi Oouchi, Masaki Satoh, Tomoe Nasuno, Hiroshi Taniguchi, Yohei Yamada, Hirofumi Tomita, Chihiro Kodama, James L Kinter III, Deepthi Achuthavarier, Julia Manganello |
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Intra-seasonal oscillation and its control over tropical cyclones in the high resolution global atmospheric models |
|
W79A |
| |
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| Yvan Orsolini, Retish Senan, Ana Carrasco, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Antje Weisheimer, Frederic Vitart, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Rasmus Benestad |
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Impact of the autumn snow cover on high latitude climate variability |
|
W82A |
| |
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|
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| Kathleen Pegion, Ben P Kirtman |
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Multimodel Ensemble Prediction on Intraseasonal Timescales |
|
W77B |
| |
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|
|
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| Peitao Peng, Arun Kumar, Huug van den Dool |
|
An analysis of OCN and EOCN methods of climate forecast of CPC |
|
W10B |
| |
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|
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| Cecile Penland |
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The NAO and Stochastic Forcing of North Tropical Atlantic SST |
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W23B |
| |
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| Ola Persson |
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Relative Roles of Wind Forcing and Ice Dynamics for Predicting Short-Term Sea-Ice Movement as Estimated from In-Situ Observations |
|
W72B |
| |
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| Thomas Phillips, Robert S Nerem, Benjamin Hamlington, Robert Leben, Tad Pfeffer |
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Estimating the influence of sea level rise uncertainty on future sea level rise projections |
|
W15A |
| |
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| Holger Pohlmann, Doug M Smith, Magdalena A Balmaseda, Noel S Keenlyside, Simona Masina, Daniela Matei, Wolfgang A M¸ller, Philippe Rogel, Eduardo D da Costa |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: The mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system |
|
W09B |
| |
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| Xu Qun |
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Significant Progress of Seasonal Prediction on Summer Monsoon Rainfall of Central East China Through 43 Recent Years (1968- 2010) |
|
W69A |
| |
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| Jouni Räisänen |
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Climatic nowcasting: incorporating model-simulated climate change to estimates of present and near-future climate |
|
W85B |
| |
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| Pallav Ray |
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On the Relative Roles of Circumnavigating Waves and Extratropics on the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) |
|
W76A |
| |
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| Jon Robson, Rowan Sutton, Doug Smith |
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Initialised predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic in the mid 1990s |
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W80A |
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| Takashi T Sakamoto, Yoshiki Komuro, Teruyuki Nishimura, Masayoshi Ishii, Hiroaki Tatebe, Hideo Shiogama, Akira Hasegawa, Takahiro Toyoda, Masato Mori, Tatsuo Suzuki, Yukiko Imada, Toru Nozawa, Kumiko Takata, Takashi Mochizuki, Koji Ogochi, Seita Emori, Hiroyasu Hasumi, Masahide Kimoto |
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Team MIROC: MIROC4h - a new high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model |
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W17A |
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| Takashi T Sakamoto, Miki Arai, Yoshiki Komuro, Hiroaki Tatebe, Masayoshi Ishii, Takashi Mochizuki, Masato Mori, Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, Yukiko Imada, Hideo Shiogama, Tatsuo Suzuki, Toru Nozawa, Masahide Kimoto |
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Team MIROC: Reproducibility and predictability of decadal climate variations in MIROC |
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W20A |
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| Takashi T Sakamoto, Yoshiki Komuro, Tatsuo Suzuki, Hiroyasu Hasumi, Masayoshi Ishii, Masahiro Watanabe, Toru Nozawa, Tokuta Yokohata, Teruyuki Nishimura, Koji Ogochi, Seita Emori, Masahide Kimoto |
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Team MIROC: Sea-ice climatology and trends in twentieth-century simulations by new MIROC coupled models |
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W20B |
| |
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| Emilia Sanchez-Gomez, Christophe Cassou, Elodie Fernandez, Laurent Terray |
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Model drift dependence on the ocean initialization in the CNRM-CERFACS "near-term" forecast exercise |
|
W87A |
| |
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| John Scinocca, Michael Sigmond, Slava Kharin |
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Can the potential predictability associated with sudden stratospheric warmings can be realized? |
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W85A |
| |
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| Hideo Shiogama, Seita Emori, Takashi Mochizuki, Sayaka Yasunaka, Tokuta Yokohata, Masayoshi Ishii, Toru Nozawa, Masahide Kimoto |
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Team MIROC: Possible influence of volcanic activity on the decadal potential predictability of the natural variability in near-term climate predictions |
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W19A |
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| Hideo Shiogama, Masato I Nodzu, Toru Nozawa, Koji Ogochi, Teruyuki Nishimura, Masayoshi Ishii |
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Team MIROC: Variability in the 20th century simulation with a coupled climate model under the different forcing conditions |
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W21B |
| |
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| Doug Smith, Sarah Ineson, Adam A Scaife, Jeff R Knight, James C Manners, Nick J Dunstone, Lesley J Gray, Joanna D Haigh |
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Solar Forcing of Northern Hemisphere Winter Climate Variability |
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W69B |
| |
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| Amy Solomon, Matthew Newman |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: Decadal predictability of tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean temperature trends due to anthropogenic forcing in a coupled climate model |
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W06A |
| |
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| Cristiana Stan, Balachandrudu Narapusetty |
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The role of atmospheric noise on the predictability of Pacific decadal variability |
|
W01A |
| |
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| Timothy Stockdale |
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Representation of the stratosphere in ECMWF seasonal forecasting systems |
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W71A |
| |
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| Yuhei Takaya, Tamaki Yasuda, Tomoaki Ose, Masayuki Hirai, Shuhei Maeda |
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Seasonal Forecast System of Japan Meteorological Agency: Physical Basis of Seasonal Forecasting in the Asian Region |
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W24A |
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| Xiaohui Tang |
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Effect of weather noise on the spring barrier of ENSO prediction |
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W13A |
| |
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| Hiroaki Tatebe, Masao Kurogi, Tatsuo Suzuki, Yukio Tanaka, Hiroyasu Hasumi, Masayoshi Ishii, Masahide Kimoto, Takashi T Sakamoto |
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Team MIROC: Toward predicting the decadal changes of mesoscale eddy activities in the Kuroshio-Oyashio confluence zone |
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W21A |
| |
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| Hiroaki Tatebe, Takahiro Toyoda; Toshiyuki Awaji; Nozomi Sugiura; Shuhei Masuda; Hiromichi Igarashi; Yuji Sasaki; Yoshihisa Hiyoshi; Yoichi Ishikawa; Takashi Mochizuki; Takashi Sakamoto; Yoshiki Komuro; Tatsuo Suzuki; Teruyuki Nishimura; Masato Mori; Yoshimitsu Chikamoto; Sayaka Yasunaka; Yukiko Imada; Miki Arai; Masahiro Watanabe; Hideo Shiogama; Toru Nozawa; Akira Hasegawa; Masayoshi Ishii; Masahide Kimoto |
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Team MIROC: Impact of the Assimilation of Sea Ice Concentration Data on an Atmosphere-Ocean-Sea Ice Coupled Simulation of the Arctic Ocean Climate |
|
W22A |
| |
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| Hiroaki Tatebe, Sayaka Yasunaka, Masayoshi Ishii, Masahide Kimoto, Takashi Mochizuki, Hideo Shiogama |
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Team MIROC: Influence of XBT Temperature Bias on Decadal Climate Prediction with a Coupled Climate Model |
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W22B |
| |
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| Hiroaki Tatebe, Masayoshi Ishii; Takashi Mochizuki; Yoshimitsu Chikamoto; Takashi Sakamoto; Yoshiki Komuro; Masato Mori; Sayaka Yasunaka; Masahiro Watanabe; Koji Ogochi; Tatsuo Suzuki; Teruyuki Nishimura; Masahide Kimoto |
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Team MIROC:Initialization of the climate model MIROC for decadal prediction with hydrographic data assimilation |
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W23A |
| |
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| Tomoki Tozuka, Takeshi Doi, Takafumi Miyasaka, Noel S Keenlyside, Toshio Yamagata |
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Key Factors in Simulating the Equatorial Atlantic Zonal SST Gradient in a CGCM |
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W79B |
| |
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| Bart van den Hurk, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Gianpaolo Balsamo |
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Effect of soil initialization on seasonal forecast skill - 2000-2010 |
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W12B |
| |
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|
Frederic Vitart |
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Monthly Forecasting at ECMWF |
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W78B |
| |
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| Masahiro Watanabe, Tatsuo Suzuki, Ryouta O'ishi, Yoshiki Komuro, Shingo Watanabe, Seita Emori, Toshihiko Takemura, Minoru Chikira, Tomoo Ogura, Miho Sekiguchi, Kumiko Takata, Dai Yamazaki, Tokuta Yokohata, Toru Nozawa, Hiroyasu Hasumi, Hiroaki Tatebe, Masahide Kimoto |
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Team MIROC: Improved Climate Simulation by MIROC5: Mean States, Variability, and Climate Sensitivity |
|
W16B |
| Masahiro Watanabe, Minoru Chikira, Yukiko Imada, Masahide Kimoto |
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Team MIROC: Convective Control of ENSO Simulated in MIROC5 |
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W03B |
| |
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| Jason Webster, Rowan Sutton, Buwen Dong, Ed Hawkins, Doug Smith, Jon Robson |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: Pacific Decadal Predictability in the U.K. Met Office's Decadal Prediction System |
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W08A |
| |
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| Caihong Wen, Yan Xue, Arun Kumar |
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Seasonal prediction of North Pacific SSTs and PDO in the NCEP CFS Hindcasts |
|
W70B |
| |
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| Bo Wu |
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Decadal hindcast and forecast experiments by FGOALS_gl |
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W12A |
| |
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| Klaus Wyser, Mihaela Caian, Torben Königk, Francisco J Doblas-Reyes, Hui Du, Virginie Guémas |
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Initialization of decadal predictions for EC-EARTH |
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W80B |
| |
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| Tamaki Yasuda, Tosiyuki Nakaegawa, Yosuke Fujii, Yuhei Takaya, Masafumi Kamachi, Tomoaki Ose |
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Seasonal Forecast System of Japan Meteorological Agency: Anomalous Hot Summer 2010 in Japan and Its Relationship to the Tropical SST Anomalies |
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W70A |
| |
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| Stephen Yeager, Alicia Karspeck, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Joe Tribbia, Haiyan Teng, Jerry Meehl |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: North Atlantic Decadal Prediction using CCSM4 |
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W07B |
| |
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| Laure Zanna |
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Verification of Decadal Forecasts: Low-frequency variability and forecast skill of observed Atlantic sea surface temperatures |
|
W07A |
